With all of the talk of an impending recession, are you second guessing your dream of starting a business? Has the decline in your stock portfolio made you want to reconsider your goals and just find a safe employer? You cannot pick up a newspaper or listen to the news without encountering a discussion of the credit crunch, the housing crisis or the inevitability of a recession.
Many economists liken our current situation with that of 1973. The United States was in an oil crisis. The stock market started a two-year downturn that saw the DJIA drop by 45%. Moreover, credit products were still evolving and generally less available than they are today. (Credit cards were barely twenty years old at that time.) As if that were not enough, the Watergate investigations were underway and the last U.S. soldiers were leaving Vietnam. Surely it must have seemed in 1973 as if it were not the best time to start a new business.
Why not start a transportation company?
Can you think of a better time to start an overnight delivery company than during an oil crisis? Fortunately Fred Smith did not let it hold him back, because FedEx began operations on April 17, 1973. To be fair, the oil crisis had not yet begun when FedEx started operating, but by October the oil embargo had begun. Fred had done his homework, literally as the business case for FedEx came from a 1965 class paper, and despite everything, FedEx moved forward. It took two years before FedEx made a profit, but just look at them now with a market capitalization of nearly $28.5B.
Of the companies founded in 1973, at least another 104 have gone public. Maybe you have heard of the Men’s Warehouse with it’s $1.25B market cap?
What to do?
Now more than ever, you should rigorously analyze the potential of your idea. Do a SWOT analysis, build your business case, etc. Maybe now is not the perfect time to finance your start-up with credit cards, but then again money is cheap if you qualify. As the saying goes: when the going gets tough, the tough get going.
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